If you are interested in the nuts and bolts of how Silver uses data to make predictions, here are a few links from Silver's blog on the New York Times site. One is an explanation of his methodology, the other a glossary of terms:
- http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/methodology/
- http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/glossary/
Or, you can go right to the source and read Silver's book The Signal and the Noise:
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